Analysis of the Influence of Global Threats on the Sustainable Development of Countries and Regions of the World Using Bayesian Belief Networks

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by: M. Z. Zgurovsky, A. A. Boldak and T. N. Pomerantseva


Abstract

Bayesian Belief Networks are used to establish qualitative causal relations between global threats and indicators of sustainable development. The method of belief network synthesis and a method of generalization of final results are proposed. This made it possible to obtain a holistic understanding of effects of global threats on the sustainable development of countries and regions of the world.


Keywords: global threat, sustainable development, entropy, information, Bayesian belief network, Boolean function.


Link to material: http://ifors.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/14.pdf


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